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lobots10's Recent Activity

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lobots10

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lobots10

  • Returns
  • Today0.03%
  • Monthly Avg6.75%
  • (Vs. S&P 500)3.43%
  • YTD-18.15%
  • Stats
  • Member SinceJul '08
  • Trades/Month46.1
  • Sectors Financial
  • Risk
  • Volatility (STD)High
  • S&P Correlation (R²)4.2%
  • Beta0.74

“Don't Give Up„

2010

Correction!
or not...

I think that is the tale to tell at least for the next couple of months....

Personally I think we will see:

that the March-Jan 09 "meltup" was fueled by record liquidity in a short time and covert gov't manipulation of as many market facets as possible (understandable I guess..but not without consequence)

Secondly, record credit contraction does not bode well for the "recovery" and points to a "double dip" at the very least...

The US consumer is not well to say the least

China "pull" had much to do with gov't stockpiling (buying spree for military purposes?) and overproduction for non-existent US market...the threat of deflation and rising interest rates will visit Brazil and China soon..ending the "emerging market" US fueled liquidity bubble

2010 began with high hopes..they will be systematically torn to pieces only to be picked up, quietly, at the end of the year

Good luck to all!

(PS: for those of you who looked last year I think we did pretty well on our 2009 forecast...we should have stuck with it!..feedback is always welcome)

http://www.marketguru.com/lobots10

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